A YouTuber has utilized Grok to forecast the outcome of the 2028 US election, presenting a comprehensive analysis online.
Grok is an artificial intelligence tool developed by Elon Musk, often employed on his social media platform Twitter, also known as X.
Donald Trump has hinted at attempting a third presidential run; however, this is prohibited by the 22nd Amendment of the US Constitution.
According to the National Constitution Center, the 22nd Amendment specifies: “No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.”
With Trump unable to participate in the next election, the question arises: who will enter the race?
For the Grok analysis, the creator of the YouTube channel Election Time included Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, JB Pritzker, Cory Booker, and Tim Walz as possible contenders. These individuals have been mentioned as potential favorites for the upcoming election, as noted by CNN.
Early Democratic primary polls released on February 12 showed Harris leading with 32 percent of the Democratic electorate, followed by Newsom at 23.8 percent.
At the time the video was published, Harris had a 56 percent likelihood of running as the Democratic candidate again.
On the Republican front, Vice President JD Vance emerged as a prominent contender. As of February 12, he was polling at 49.2 percent, with Donald Trump Jr. following at 19.5 percent.
Other Republican hopefuls mentioned were Mark Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Robert Kennedy Jr., Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, and Vivek Ramaswamy.
Grok’s analysis suggested a 46 percent probability that Vance would secure the Republican nomination.
Considering Vance and Harris as projected candidates for the 2028 election, Vance’s stronghold states were predicted to include Utah, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska (excluding its second district), Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Ohio.
Conversely, Harris’ stronghold states reflected her 2024 campaign and included California, Washington, Hawaii, Vermont, Massachusetts, among others. Notably, Grok’s 2028 predictions suggested Delaware and Connecticut as solid states for Harris, diverging from her 2024 campaign.
Ultimately, Grok’s forecast projected JD Vance receiving 326 electoral votes against Kamala Harris’ 212, indicating another potential four years of Republican leadership in the US.