In a recent survey involving hundreds of registered voters across the United States, insights were gathered on a hypothetical scenario where Donald Trump and Barack Obama both decide to run for the presidential office in 2028.
The current US Constitution explicitly states that ‘no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice,’ which means that under existing rules, neither Obama nor Trump would be eligible for another term. This could only happen if there were changes to the rules.
Trump has previously mentioned the possibility of returning to office post his current term. In a conversation with NBC News, he stated he was ‘not joking’ about the idea and hinted at ‘methods’ that might allow his return.
Assuming these hypothetical methods could also be utilized by Obama, Daily Mail/J.L. Partners conducted a poll to understand public opinion on a potential election contest between these two political figures.
Involving 1,013 registered voters, the poll found that seven percent were either ‘unsure’ or would cast their vote for ‘other’ candidates if such an election were to occur.
Nevertheless, the majority of participants expressed a clear preference. If the election were to take place, Obama would likely emerge victorious over Trump.
Obama garnered support from 52 percent of those polled, while Trump received 41 percent of the vote.
Despite a 3.1 percentage point margin of error in the poll results, Obama’s lead remained significant.
The Daily Mail pointed out that Obama’s 11 percent lead was significantly supported by Hispanic voters, with 73 percent favoring him, alongside 68 percent of Black voters.
Among independent voters, Obama also led with 50 percent, compared to Trump’s 39 percent.
The poll also provided insights into Trump’s current approval ratings, showing that 49 percent approved of his performance as president, while 51 percent disapproved.
If Trump were to contest against Hillary Clinton instead, the poll suggests Trump would have a slight edge, with 44 percent supporting him and 43 percent backing Clinton.
While the existing Constitutional rules prevent a direct electoral contest between Trump and Obama, Trump has expressed that such a matchup would be intriguing.
In a March interview with Fox News, he commented: “I’d love that …. That would be a good one. I’d like that.”